AskDefine | Define econometric

Dictionary Definition

econometric adj : of or relating to econometrics; "econometric theories"

User Contributed Dictionary

English

Adjective

  1. Combining economics and mathematics.
    an econometric study

Extensive Definition

Econometrics is concerned with the tasks of developing and applying quantitative or statistical methods to the study and elucidation of economic principles. Econometrics combines economic theory with statistics to analyze and test economic relationships. Theoretical econometrics considers questions about the statistical properties of estimators and tests, while applied econometrics is concerned with the application of econometric methods to assess economic theories. Although the first known use of the term "econometrics" was by Pawel Ciompa in 1910, Ragnar Frisch is given credit for coining the term in the sense that it is used today.
Although many econometric methods represent applications of standard statistical models, there are some special features of economic data that distinguish econometrics from other branches of statistics. Economic data are generally observational, rather than being derived from controlled experiments. Because the individual units in an economy interact with each other, the observed data tend to reflect complex economic equilibrium conditions rather than simple behavioral relationships based on preferences or technology. Consequently, the field of econometrics has developed methods for identification and estimation of simultaneous equation models. Early work in econometrics focused on time-series data, but now econometrics also fully covers cross-sectional and panel data.

Purpose

The two main purposes of econometrics are to give empirical content to economic theory and to subject economic theory to potentially falsifying tests.
Data sets to which econometric analyses are applied can be classified as time-series data, cross-sectional data, panel data, and multidimensional panel data. Time-series data sets contain observations over time; for example, inflation over the course of several years. Cross-sectional data sets contain observations at a single point in time; for example, many individuals' incomes in a given year. Panel data sets contain both time-series and cross-sectional observations. Multi-dimensional panel data sets contain observations across time, cross-sectionally, and across some third dimension. For example, the Survey of Professional Forecasters contains forecasts for many forecasters (cross-sectional observations), at many points in time (time series observations), and at multiple forecast horizons (a third dimension).
Econometric analysis may also be classified on the basis of the number of relationships modelled. Single equation methods model a single variable (the dependent variable) as a function of one or more explanatory (or independent) variables. In many econometric contexts, such single equation methods may not recover the effect desired, or may produce estimates with poor statistical properties. Simultaneous equation methods have been developed as one means of addressing these problems. Many of these methods use variants of instrumental variable to make estimates.
Other important methods include Method of Moments, Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), Bayesian methods, Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS), and Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS).

Example

A simple example of a relationship in econometrics from the field of labor economics is:
\ln(\text) = \beta_0 + \beta_1 (\text) + \varepsilon.
Economic theory says that the natural logarithm of a person's wage is a linear function of the number of years of education that person has acquired. The parameter \beta_1 measures the increase in the natural log of the wage attributable to one more year of education. It should be noted that by using the natural log we have moved away from a simple linear regression model and are now using a non linear model, in this case, a semi-log y model. The term \epsilon is a random variable representing all other factors that may have direct influence on wage. The econometric goal is to estimate the parameters, \beta_0 \mbox \beta_1 under specific assumptions about the random variable \epsilon. For example, if \epsilon and Years of Education are uncorrelated, then the equation can be estimated with ordinary least squares.
If the researcher could randomly assign people to different levels of education, the data set thus generated would allow the econometrician to estimate the effect of changes in years of education on wages. In reality, those experiments cannot be conducted. Instead, the econometrician observes the years of education of and the wages paid to people who differ along many dimensions. Given this kind of data, the estimated coefficient on Years of Education in the equation above reflects both the effect of education on wages and the effect of other variables on wages, if those other variables were correlated with education. For example, people with more innate ability may have higher wages and higher levels of education. Unless the econometrician controls for innate ability in the above equation, the effect of innate ability on wages may be falsely attributed to the effect of education on wages.
The most obvious way to control for innate ability is to include a measure of ability in the equation above. Exclusion of innate ability, together with the assumption that \epsilon is uncorrelated with education produces a misspecified model. A second technique for dealing with omitted variables is instrumental variables estimation.

Notable econometricians

The following are the Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel recipients in the field of econometrics:
The Econometric Author Links of the Econometrics Journal provides personal links to recent articles and working papers of econometric authors via the RePEc system in EconPapers.

Notes

References

v. 1, pp. 3-771 (1983)
v. 2, pp. 775-1461 (1984)
v. 3, pp. 1465-2107 (1986)
v. 4, pp. 2111-3155 (1994)
v. 5, pp. 3159-3843 (2001)
v. 6, Part 1, pp. 3845-4776 (2007)
v. 6, Part 2, pp. 4777-5752 (2007)
  • Harry H. Kelejian and Wallace E. Oates (1989, 3rd ed.) Introduction to Econometrics.
  • Peter Kennedy (2003). A Guide to Econometrics, 5th ed. Preview.
  • Robert S. Pindyck and Daniel L. Rubinfeld (1998, 4th ed.).
  • A.H. Studenmund (2000, 4th ed.) Using Econometrics: A Practical Guide.

See also

Study Resources

econometric in Arabic: اقتصاد قياسي
econometric in Belarusian (Tarashkevitsa): Эканамэтрыка
econometric in Catalan: Econometria
econometric in Czech: Ekonometrie
econometric in Danish: Økonometri (økonomi)
econometric in German: Ökonometrie
econometric in Estonian: Ökonomeetria
econometric in Modern Greek (1453-): Οικονομετρία
econometric in Spanish: Econometría
econometric in Esperanto: Ekonometrio
econometric in French: Économétrie
econometric in Indonesian: Ekonometrika
econometric in Italian: Econometria
econometric in Hebrew: אקונומטריקה
econometric in Lao: ເອໂຄໂນເມທຣິກ
econometric in Hungarian: Ökonometria
econometric in Dutch: Econometrie
econometric in Japanese: 計量経済学
econometric in Norwegian: Økonometri
econometric in Norwegian Nynorsk: Økonometri
econometric in Polish: Ekonometria
econometric in Portuguese: Econometria
econometric in Romanian: Econometrie
econometric in Russian: Эконометрика
econometric in Simple English: Econometrics
econometric in Slovak: Ekonometria
econometric in Sundanese: Ékonométri
econometric in Finnish: Ekonometria
econometric in Swedish: Ekonometri
econometric in Vietnamese: Kinh tế lượng
econometric in Turkish: Ekonometri
econometric in Ukrainian: Економетрика
econometric in Chinese: 计量经济学
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